NCJ Number
170379
Date Published
November 1997
Annotation
This report and its update were produced under a Bureau of Justice Statistics grant to Dr. James A. Fox, School of Criminal Justice Northeastern University.
Abstract
This report discusses demographic trends and their impact on crime. It concludes that the growth in juvenile population in the next decade will cause a dramatic increase in the level of juvenile violence. This report, produced under a Bureau of Justice Statistics grant, is based on Dr. Fox's briefing of the Attorney General in 1995. An updated report with results through 1996 is now available. NCJ 170379 and 170377
Recent homicide data can be found in Homicide Trends in the United States.
Date Published: November 1, 1997
Downloads
- 1997 Update - Full report, 62K
- 1997 Update - Forecast of Teen Homicide Offenders
- 1997 Update - Data used in the tables and graphic, 25K
- 1997 Update - State-by-State tables in zip format
- Original Report - Full report, 127K
- Original Report - Text and tables only, 27K
- Original Report - Fig 1. Four Measures of Violent Crime
- Original Report - Fig 2. Urban Violent Crime Forecast from 1976 Model
- Original Report - Fig 3. U.S. Homicide Rate and Percent of Population Ages 18-24
- Original Report - Fig 4. Homicide Offending Rate by Age
- Original Report - Fig 5a. Homicide Offending Rate by Age, White Male
- Original Report - Fig 5b. Homicide Offending Rate by Age, Black Male
- Original Report - Fig 6a. White Males, Ages 14-24 as Percent of Homicide Offenders, Victims and Population
- Original Report - Fig 6b. Black Males, Ages 14-24 as Percent of Homicide Offenders, Victims and Population
- Original Report - Fig 7a. Homicide Arrest Rates by Age (with percent change, 1989-94)
- Original Report - Fig 7b. Violent Arrest Rates by Age (with percent change, 1989-94)
- Original Report - Fig 8. Juvenile Homicides by Weapon
- Original Report - Fig 9. Juvenile Homicides by Relationship
- Original Report - Fig 10. Percent of Families with Children Under 18 Lacking Full-time Parental Supervision
- Original Report - Fig 11. Time of Offending by Age of Offender
- Original Report - Fig 12. Population Under Ten Years Old
- Original Report - Fig 13. Population and Offenders, Age 14-17
- Original Report - Fig 14a. Population and Offenders, White Male, Ages 14-17
- Original Report - Fig 14b. Population and Offenders, Black Male, Ages 14-17
- Original Report - Fig 15. Forecast of Homicide Offenders, Ages 14-17
- Original Report - Data for the graphics
